Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002206 0.002329 0.002459 0.002609 0.002775 0.002957 0.003171
2025-03-02 0.001997 0.002164 0.002349 0.002572 0.002838 0.003149 0.003549
2025-03-09 0.001838 0.002026 0.002243 0.002516 0.002857 0.003279 0.003860
2025-03-16 0.001766 0.001978 0.002230 0.002560 0.002992 0.003559 0.004406
2025-03-23 0.001704 0.001933 0.002214 0.002592 0.003109 0.003827 0.004986
2025-03-30 0.001628 0.001865 0.002159 0.002566 0.003140 0.003975 0.005415
2025-04-06 0.001546 0.001783 0.002081 0.002501 0.003107 0.004019 0.005676
2025-04-13 0.001489 0.001729 0.002034 0.002472 0.003121 0.004132 0.006087
2025-04-20 0.001403 0.001632 0.001926 0.002350 0.002984 0.003986 0.005965
2025-04-27 0.001368 0.001601 0.001904 0.002347 0.003027 0.004140 0.006488
2025-05-04 0.001356 0.001599 0.001920 0.002400 0.003160 0.004468 0.007499
2025-05-11 0.001326 0.001572 0.001899 0.002397 0.003202 0.004638 0.008215
2025-05-18 0.001313 0.001568 0.001914 0.002451 0.003350 0.005052 0.009871
2025-05-25 0.001276 0.001530 0.001878 0.002425 0.003361 0.005194 0.010844
2025-06-01 0.001235 0.001485 0.001830 0.002377 0.003327 0.005236 0.011521
2025-06-08 0.001222 0.001479 0.001837 0.002418 0.003457 0.005674 0.014262
2025-06-15 0.001207 0.001469 0.001838 0.002447 0.003570 0.006103 0.017869
2025-06-22 0.001179 0.001439 0.001808 0.002424 0.003578 0.006272 0.020438
2025-06-29 0.001143 0.001397 0.001759 0.002365 0.003510 0.006222 0.021375
2025-07-06 0.001118 0.001370 0.001731 0.002339 0.003505 0.006351 0.024331
2025-07-13 0.001073 0.001312 0.001654 0.002229 0.003320 0.005935 0.021227
2025-07-20 0.001056 0.001296 0.001641 0.002226 0.003358 0.006173 0.025648
2025-07-27 0.001053 0.001299 0.001657 0.002274 0.003505 0.006786 0.040066